RAPID AMOC
monitoring the atlantic overturning circulation
NERC

Alphabetically by author:

A   B   C   D   E   F   G   H   I   J   K   L   M   N   O   P   Q   R   S   T   U   V   W   X   Y   Z  

By publication year:

2019  2018  2017  2016  2015  2014  2013  2012  2011  2010  2009  2008  2007  2006  2005  2004  2003  2002 

RAPID Publications

Publications based on research carried out in the RAPID programme

OSNAP publications

Publications based on research carried out in the OSNAP programme

Scientific publications relevant to RAPID

The papers below are related to RAPID research themes, but the research on which they are based is not directly part of the RAPID programmes. Follow this link for a list of RAPID publications.

Recently published:

Zou, S., Lozier, M. S. & Buckley, M. (2019): How is meridional coherence maintained in the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 244-252.  doi:10.1029/2018GL080958

Mackay, N., Wilson, C., Zika, J. & Holliday, N.P. (2018): A Regional Thermohaline Inverse Method for Estimating Circulation and Mixing in the Arctic and Subpolar North Atlantic, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35 (12), 2383-2403.  doi:0.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1

Sutton, R.T.; McCarthy, G.D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; Gray, L.J. (2018): Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the UK ACSIS programme, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 99.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

Gary, S.F.; Cunningham, S.A.; Johnson, C.; Houpert, L.; Holliday, N.P.; Behrens, E.; Biastoch, A.; Böning, C.W. (2018): Seasonal cycles of oceanic transports in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, JGR, Oceans, 123(2), 1471-1484.  doi:10.1002/2017JC013350

Publications arranged alphabetically by lead author

A

Austin, W. E. N., Telford, R. J., Ninnemann, U. S., Brown, L., Wilson, L. J., Small, D. P., Bryant, C. L. (2011): North Atlantic reservoir ages linked to high Younger Dryas atmospheric radiocarbon concentrations, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 226-233.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.06.011

B

Böning, C.W. E. Behrens, A. Biastoch, K. Getzlaff, and J.L. Bamber (2016): Emerging impact of Greenland meltwater on deepwater formation in the North Atlantic Ocean, Nature Geoscience, 9: 523-527.  doi:10.1038/ngeo2740

Baker, A., Wilson, R., Fairchild, I.J., Franke, J., Spötl, C., Mattey, D., Trouet, V., Fuller, L. (2011): High resolution δ18O and δ13C records from an annually laminated Scottish stalagmite and relationship with last millennium climate, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.007.

Balmaseda, M. A., Smith, G. C., Haines, K., Anderson, D., Palmer, T. N., and Vidard, A. (2007): Historical reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from the ECMWF operational ocean reanalysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34(23).  doi:10.1029/2007GL031645

Balmaseda, M.A., Mogensen, K., Weaver, A. (2013): Evaluation of the ECMWF Ocean Reanalysis ORAS4, Quaterly Journal Roy. Met. Soc. A, 139: 1132-1161.  doi:10.1002/qj.2063

Baringer, M. O. and Larsen, J. C. (2001): Sixteen years of Florida Current Transport at 27°N, Geophysical Research Letters, 28(16): 3179-3182.  doi:doi: 10.1029/2001GL013246

Bigg, G. R., Levine, R. C., Green, C. L. (2011): Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 176-192.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.001

C

Carton, J.A. and Hakkinen, S. (2011): Climate and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Deep Sea Research II Special Issue, 58 (17-18): 1741-1944 (September 2011).

Carton, J.A., Cunningham, S.A., FraJka-Williams,E., Kwon, Y.O., Marshall,D., Msadek, R. (2014): The Atlantic Overturning Circulation: More Evidence of Variability and Links to Climate, Summary of the 2013 U.S. AMOC – U.K. RAPID International Science Meeting, Am.Met.Soc, BAMS August 2014: 163-166.  Meeting Summary

Challenor, P., McNeall, D., Gattiker, J. (2010): Assessing the probability of rare climate events, In, O\'Hagan, Anthony and West, Mike (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis, Oxford University Press: 403-430.  ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199548903.do

Challenor, P.G. (2009): Comments by P.Challenor on Goldstein and Rougier, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139 (3): 1248-1248.  doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2008.08.012

F

Fischer, J., J. Karstensen, R. Zantopp, M. Visbeck, A. Biastoch, E. Behrens, C.W. Böning, D. Quadfasel, K. Jochumsen, H.Valdimarsson' S.Jonsson, S.Bacon, N.P. Holliday, S. Dye, M. Rhein, C. Mertense (2015): Intra-seasonal variability of the DWBC in the western subpolar North Atlantic, Progress in Oceanography, 132: 233-249.  doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2014.04.002

G

Gary, S.F.; Cunningham, S.A.; Johnson, C.; Houpert, L.; Holliday, N.P.; Behrens, E.; Biastoch, A.; Böning, C.W. (2018): Seasonal cycles of oceanic transports in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, JGR, Oceans, 123(2): 1471-1484.  doi:10.1002/2017JC013350

Goddard, P.B., Yin, J., Griffies, S.M., Zhang, S. (2015): An extreme event of sea-level rise along the Northeast coast of North America in 2009-2010, Nature Communicationdoi:10.1038/ncomms7346

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C (2005): Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems, Journal of the American Statistical AssociationPre-print

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C (2005): Reified Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Physical Systems, Journal of Statistical Planning and InferencePre-print

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2005): Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems, SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 26: 467-487.  doi:10.1137/S106482750342670X

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2009): Reified Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Physical Systems, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(3): 1221-1239.  doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2008.07.019

Gulev, S.K. Latif, M. (2015): Ocean science: The origins of a climate oscillation, Nature, 521: 428-430.  doi:10.1038/521428a

H

Hall, I.R., Evans, H.K., Thornalley, D.J.R. (2011): Deep water flow speed and surface ocean changes in the subtropical North Atlantic during the last deglaciation, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 255-263.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.001

Hansen, B., K. M. H. Larsen, H. Hatun, and S. Österhus (A stable Faroe Bank Channel overflow 1995-2015): Ocean Science, 12, 1205-1220: 10.5194/os-12-1205-2016. 

Hawkins, E., Sutton, R. (2010): The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change, Climate Dynamics, in press.  doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

Houpert, L., Inall,M.E., Dumont,E., Gary,S., Johnson, C., Porter, M., Johns, W.E., Cunningham, S.A. (2018): Structure and Transport of the North Atlantic Current in the Eastern Subpolar Gyre From Sustained Glider Observations, JGRdoi:10.1029/2018JC014162

J

Jung, S.J.A., Kroon, D. (2011): Quantifying rates of change in ocean conditions with implications for timing of sea level change, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 204-213.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.004

K

Knutti, R., Meehl, G.A., Allen, M. R., Stainforth, D. A. (2006): Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature, Journal of Climate, 19: 4224-4233.  doi:10.1175/JCLI3865.1

L

Landerer, F.W., Wiese, D.N., Bentel, K., Boening, C., Watkins, M.M. (2015): North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variations from GRACE ocean bottom pressure anomalies, GRL, 42(19): 8114-8121.  doi:10.1002/2015GL065730

Lavender, K. L., Owens, W. B., Davis, R. E. (2005): The mid-depth circulation of the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean as measured by subsurface floats, Deep Sea Research, 52: 767-785.  doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2004.12.007

Lenton, T.L., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J.W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H.J. (2008): Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system, Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA, 105 (6): 1786-1793.  doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105

Longworth, H. R., Bryden, H. L., Baringer, M. O. (2011): Historical variability in Atlantic meridional baroclinic transport at 26.5°N from boundary dynamic height observations, Deep-Sea Research II, 58 (17-18): 1754-1767.  doi:doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.057

Lozier, M.S.; Bacon, S.; Bower, A.S.; Cunningham, S.A.; de Jong, M.F.; de Steur, L.; deYoung, B.; Fischer, J.; Gary, S.F; Greenan, B.J.W.; Heimbach, P.; Holliday, N.P.; Houpert, L.; Inall, M.E.; Johns, W.E.; Johnson, H.L.; Karstensen, J.; Li, F.; Lin, X.; Mackay, N.; Marshall, D.P.; Mercier, H.; Myers, P.G.; Pickart, R.S.; Pillar, H.R.; Straneo, F.; Thierry, V.; Weller, Robert A.; Williams, R.G.; Wilson, C.; Yang, J.; Zhao, J.; Zika, J.D. (2017): Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: a new international ocean observing system, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 98(4): 737-752.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0057.1

M

Mackay, N., Wilson, C., Zika, J. & Holliday, N.P. (2018): A Regional Thermohaline Inverse Method for Estimating Circulation and Mixing in the Arctic and Subpolar North Atlantic, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35 (12): 2383-2403.  doi:0.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1

Maidens, A., A. Arribas, A.A. Scaife, C. MacLachlan, D. Peterson, J. Knight (2013): The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11, Monthly Weather Review, 41 (11): 3801-3813.  doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00033.1

Marsh, R., Haigh, I.D., Cunningham, S.A., Inall, M.E., Porter, M., and Moat, B.I. (Large-scale forcing of the European Slope Current and associated inflows to the North Sea): Ocean Sci., 13, 315-335: 10.5194/os-13-315-2017. 

McDermott, F., Atkinson, T.C., Fairchild, I.J., Baldini, L.M., Mattey, D.P. (2011): A first evaluation of the spatial gradients in δ18O recorded by European Holocene speleothems, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 275-287.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.01.005

McDonagh, E. L., McLeod, P., King, B. A. Bryden, H. L., Torres Valdes, S. (2010): Circulation, heat and freshwater transport at 36°N in the Atlantic, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40: 2661-2678.  doi:10.1175/2010JPO4176.1

Mercier, H., P. Lherminier, A. Sarafanov, F. Gaillard, N. Daniault, D. Desbruyeres, A. Falina, B. Ferron, T. Huck, V. Thierry (2015): Variability of the meridional overturning circulation at the Greenland-Portugal Ovide section from 1993 to 2010, Prog. Oceanogr, 132: 250-261.  doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2013.11.001

O

OSNAP (2016): Measuring the Meridional Overturning Circulation from the OSNAP Array, OSNAP Technical Report, July 2016.  https://duke.app.box.com/v/osnap-technical-report

P

Persechino, A., Marsh, R., Sinha, B., Megann, A. P., Blaker, A. T., New, A. L. (2012): Decadal-timescale changes of the Atlantic overturning circulation and climate in a coupled climate model with a hybrid-coordinate ocean component, Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4): 1021-1042.  doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1432-y

Pillar, H., P. Heimbach, H. Johnson, and D. Marshall (2016): Dynamical attribution of recent variability in Atlantic overturning, J. Climate, 29: 3339-3352.  doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0727.1

R

Rahmstorf, S., Box, J., Feulner, G., Mann, M., Robinson, A., Rutherford, S., Schaffernicht, E. (2015): Evidence for an exceptional 20th-Century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning, Nature Climate Change (online)doi:10.1038/nclimate2554

Roberts, C. D., Jackson, L., McNeall, D. (2014): Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?, GRL, 41(9): 3204-210.  doi:10.1002/2014GL059473

Rossby, T., G. Reverdin, L. Chafik, H. Søiland (2017): A direct estimate of poleward volume, heat, and freshwater fluxes at 59.58N between Greenland and Scotland, 2017., J. Geophys. Res., 122: 5870-5887.  doi:10.1002/2017JC012835

Rougier, J. C (2005): Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Simulator Evaluations, Climatic Changewww.maths.dur.ac.uk/stats/people/jcr/CCrevisionA4.pdf

S

Sanderson, B.M., Knutti, R., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Ingram, W. J., Piani, C., Stainforth, D. A., Stone, D. A., Allen, M. R. (2008): Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes, Journal of Climate, 21: 2384-2400.  doi:doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1869.1

Schiermeier, Q (2013): Oceans under surveillance, Nature News, 497: 7448.  On-line article

Schiermeier, Q (2014): Atlantic current strength declines, Nature News, 509: 7500.  On-line article

Smith, D., R.P. Allan, A.C. Coward, R. Eade, P. Hyder, C.Liu, N.G. Loeb, M.D. Palmer, C.D. Roberts, A.A. Scaife (2015): Earth’s energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42: 1205–1213.  doi:10.1002/2014GL062669

Stanford, J.D., Rohling, E.J., Bacon, S., Holliday, N.P. (2011): A review of the deep and surface currents around Eirik Drift, south of Greenland: Comparison of the past with the present, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 244-254.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.001

Stanford, J.D., Hemingway, R., Rohling, E.J., Challenor, P.G., Medina-Elizalde, M., Lester, A.J. (2011): Sea-level probability for the last deglaciation: A statistical analysis of far-field records, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 193-203.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.002

Sutton, R.T.; McCarthy, G.D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; Gray, L.J. (2018): Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the UK ACSIS programme, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 99.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

Swingedouw, D., Braconnot, P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E., Marti, O. (2007): Quantifying the AMOC feedbacks during a 2xCO(2) stabilization experiment with land-ice melting, Climate Dynamics, 29: 521-534.  doi:10.1007/S00382-007-0250-0

T

Taws, S.R., R. Marsh, N.C. Wells, J. Hirschi (2011): Re-emerging ocean temperature anomalies in late 2010 associated with a repeat negative NAO, Geophysical Research Letters, 8: L20601.  doi:10.1029/2011GL048978

Tindall, J. C., Valdesm P. J. (2011): Modeling the 8.2 ka event using a coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMC312-321, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.004.

Tokmakian, R., P. Challenor, and I Andrianakis (2012): On the Use of Emulators with Extreme and Highly Nonlinear Geophysical Simulators., Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 29 (11): 1704-1715.  doi:10.1175/JTECHD-11-00110.1

Tokmakian, R., and P. Challenor (2014): Uncertainty in Modeled Upper Ocean Heat Content Change., Climate Dynamics, 42: 1-20.  doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1709-9

Y

Yashayaev, I., and J. W. Loder (2016): Recurrent replenishment of Labrador Sea Water and associated decadal-scale variability, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 121: 8095-8114.  doi:10.1002/2016JC012046

Yashayaev, I., and J.W. Loder (2017): Further intensification of deep convection in the Labrador Sea in 2016., Geophysical Research Letters, 44: 1429-1438.  doi:10.1002/2016GL071668

Z

Zhang,R., Delworth,T., Sutton,R., Hodson, D.L.R., Dixon, K.W., Held, I.M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J., Rosati, A.J., Ting, M.F., Vecchi, G.A. (2013): Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?, J.Atmos.Sci., 70(4): 1135-1144.  doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

Zou, S., Lozier, M. S. & Buckley, M. (2019): How is meridional coherence maintained in the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 46: 244-252.  doi:10.1029/2018GL080958

Arranged by publication year

2019   2018   2017   2016   2015   2014   2013   2012   2011   2010   2009   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004   2003  

2019

Zou, S., Lozier, M. S. & Buckley, M. (2019): How is meridional coherence maintained in the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 46: 244-252.  doi:10.1029/2018GL080958

2018

Gary, S.F.; Cunningham, S.A.; Johnson, C.; Houpert, L.; Holliday, N.P.; Behrens, E.; Biastoch, A.; Böning, C.W. (2018): Seasonal cycles of oceanic transports in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, JGR, Oceans, 123(2): 1471-1484.  doi:10.1002/2017JC013350

Houpert, L., Inall,M.E., Dumont,E., Gary,S., Johnson, C., Porter, M., Johns, W.E., Cunningham, S.A. (2018): Structure and Transport of the North Atlantic Current in the Eastern Subpolar Gyre From Sustained Glider Observations, JGRdoi:10.1029/2018JC014162

Mackay, N., Wilson, C., Zika, J. & Holliday, N.P. (2018): A Regional Thermohaline Inverse Method for Estimating Circulation and Mixing in the Arctic and Subpolar North Atlantic, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35 (12): 2383-2403.  doi:0.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1

Sutton, R.T.; McCarthy, G.D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; Gray, L.J. (2018): Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the UK ACSIS programme, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 99.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

2017

Lozier, M.S.; Bacon, S.; Bower, A.S.; Cunningham, S.A.; de Jong, M.F.; de Steur, L.; deYoung, B.; Fischer, J.; Gary, S.F; Greenan, B.J.W.; Heimbach, P.; Holliday, N.P.; Houpert, L.; Inall, M.E.; Johns, W.E.; Johnson, H.L.; Karstensen, J.; Li, F.; Lin, X.; Mackay, N.; Marshall, D.P.; Mercier, H.; Myers, P.G.; Pickart, R.S.; Pillar, H.R.; Straneo, F.; Thierry, V.; Weller, Robert A.; Williams, R.G.; Wilson, C.; Yang, J.; Zhao, J.; Zika, J.D. (2017): Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: a new international ocean observing system, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 98(4): 737-752.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0057.1

Rossby, T., G. Reverdin, L. Chafik, H. Søiland (2017): A direct estimate of poleward volume, heat, and freshwater fluxes at 59.58N between Greenland and Scotland, 2017., J. Geophys. Res., 122: 5870-5887.  doi:10.1002/2017JC012835

Yashayaev, I., and J.W. Loder (2017): Further intensification of deep convection in the Labrador Sea in 2016., Geophysical Research Letters, 44: 1429-1438.  doi:10.1002/2016GL071668

2016

Böning, C.W. E. Behrens, A. Biastoch, K. Getzlaff, and J.L. Bamber (2016): Emerging impact of Greenland meltwater on deepwater formation in the North Atlantic Ocean, Nature Geoscience, 9: 523-527.  doi:10.1038/ngeo2740

OSNAP (2016): Measuring the Meridional Overturning Circulation from the OSNAP Array, OSNAP Technical Report, July 2016.  https://duke.app.box.com/v/osnap-technical-report

Pillar, H., P. Heimbach, H. Johnson, and D. Marshall (2016): Dynamical attribution of recent variability in Atlantic overturning, J. Climate, 29: 3339-3352.  doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0727.1

Yashayaev, I., and J. W. Loder (2016): Recurrent replenishment of Labrador Sea Water and associated decadal-scale variability, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 121: 8095-8114.  doi:10.1002/2016JC012046

2015

Fischer, J., J. Karstensen, R. Zantopp, M. Visbeck, A. Biastoch, E. Behrens, C.W. Böning, D. Quadfasel, K. Jochumsen, H.Valdimarsson' S.Jonsson, S.Bacon, N.P. Holliday, S. Dye, M. Rhein, C. Mertense (2015): Intra-seasonal variability of the DWBC in the western subpolar North Atlantic, Progress in Oceanography, 132: 233-249.  doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2014.04.002

Goddard, P.B., Yin, J., Griffies, S.M., Zhang, S. (2015): An extreme event of sea-level rise along the Northeast coast of North America in 2009-2010, Nature Communicationdoi:10.1038/ncomms7346

Gulev, S.K. Latif, M. (2015): Ocean science: The origins of a climate oscillation, Nature, 521: 428-430.  doi:10.1038/521428a

Landerer, F.W., Wiese, D.N., Bentel, K., Boening, C., Watkins, M.M. (2015): North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variations from GRACE ocean bottom pressure anomalies, GRL, 42(19): 8114-8121.  doi:10.1002/2015GL065730

Mercier, H., P. Lherminier, A. Sarafanov, F. Gaillard, N. Daniault, D. Desbruyeres, A. Falina, B. Ferron, T. Huck, V. Thierry (2015): Variability of the meridional overturning circulation at the Greenland-Portugal Ovide section from 1993 to 2010, Prog. Oceanogr, 132: 250-261.  doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2013.11.001

Rahmstorf, S., Box, J., Feulner, G., Mann, M., Robinson, A., Rutherford, S., Schaffernicht, E. (2015): Evidence for an exceptional 20th-Century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning, Nature Climate Change (online)doi:10.1038/nclimate2554

Smith, D., R.P. Allan, A.C. Coward, R. Eade, P. Hyder, C.Liu, N.G. Loeb, M.D. Palmer, C.D. Roberts, A.A. Scaife (2015): Earth’s energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42: 1205–1213.  doi:10.1002/2014GL062669

2014

Carton, J.A., Cunningham, S.A., FraJka-Williams,E., Kwon, Y.O., Marshall,D., Msadek, R. (2014): The Atlantic Overturning Circulation: More Evidence of Variability and Links to Climate, Summary of the 2013 U.S. AMOC – U.K. RAPID International Science Meeting, Am.Met.Soc, BAMS August 2014: 163-166.  Meeting Summary

Roberts, C. D., Jackson, L., McNeall, D. (2014): Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?, GRL, 41(9): 3204-210.  doi:10.1002/2014GL059473

Schiermeier, Q (2014): Atlantic current strength declines, Nature News, 509: 7500.  On-line article

Tokmakian, R., and P. Challenor (2014): Uncertainty in Modeled Upper Ocean Heat Content Change., Climate Dynamics, 42: 1-20.  doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1709-9

2013

Balmaseda, M.A., Mogensen, K., Weaver, A. (2013): Evaluation of the ECMWF Ocean Reanalysis ORAS4, Quaterly Journal Roy. Met. Soc. A, 139: 1132-1161.  doi:10.1002/qj.2063

Maidens, A., A. Arribas, A.A. Scaife, C. MacLachlan, D. Peterson, J. Knight (2013): The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11, Monthly Weather Review, 41 (11): 3801-3813.  doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00033.1

Schiermeier, Q (2013): Oceans under surveillance, Nature News, 497: 7448.  On-line article

Zhang,R., Delworth,T., Sutton,R., Hodson, D.L.R., Dixon, K.W., Held, I.M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J., Rosati, A.J., Ting, M.F., Vecchi, G.A. (2013): Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?, J.Atmos.Sci., 70(4): 1135-1144.  doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

2012

Persechino, A., Marsh, R., Sinha, B., Megann, A. P., Blaker, A. T., New, A. L. (2012): Decadal-timescale changes of the Atlantic overturning circulation and climate in a coupled climate model with a hybrid-coordinate ocean component, Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4): 1021-1042.  doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1432-y

Tokmakian, R., P. Challenor, and I Andrianakis (2012): On the Use of Emulators with Extreme and Highly Nonlinear Geophysical Simulators., Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 29 (11): 1704-1715.  doi:10.1175/JTECHD-11-00110.1

2011

Austin, W. E. N., Telford, R. J., Ninnemann, U. S., Brown, L., Wilson, L. J., Small, D. P., Bryant, C. L. (2011): North Atlantic reservoir ages linked to high Younger Dryas atmospheric radiocarbon concentrations, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 226-233.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.06.011

Baker, A., Wilson, R., Fairchild, I.J., Franke, J., Spötl, C., Mattey, D., Trouet, V., Fuller, L. (2011): High resolution δ18O and δ13C records from an annually laminated Scottish stalagmite and relationship with last millennium climate, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.007.

Bigg, G. R., Levine, R. C., Green, C. L. (2011): Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 176-192.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.001

Carton, J.A. and Hakkinen, S. (2011): Climate and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Deep Sea Research II Special Issue, 58 (17-18): 1741-1944 (September 2011).

Hall, I.R., Evans, H.K., Thornalley, D.J.R. (2011): Deep water flow speed and surface ocean changes in the subtropical North Atlantic during the last deglaciation, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 255-263.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.001

Jung, S.J.A., Kroon, D. (2011): Quantifying rates of change in ocean conditions with implications for timing of sea level change, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 204-213.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.004

Longworth, H. R., Bryden, H. L., Baringer, M. O. (2011): Historical variability in Atlantic meridional baroclinic transport at 26.5°N from boundary dynamic height observations, Deep-Sea Research II, 58 (17-18): 1754-1767.  doi:doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.057

McDermott, F., Atkinson, T.C., Fairchild, I.J., Baldini, L.M., Mattey, D.P. (2011): A first evaluation of the spatial gradients in δ18O recorded by European Holocene speleothems, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 275-287.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.01.005

Stanford, J.D., Rohling, E.J., Bacon, S., Holliday, N.P. (2011): A review of the deep and surface currents around Eirik Drift, south of Greenland: Comparison of the past with the present, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 244-254.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.001

Stanford, J.D., Hemingway, R., Rohling, E.J., Challenor, P.G., Medina-Elizalde, M., Lester, A.J. (2011): Sea-level probability for the last deglaciation: A statistical analysis of far-field records, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 193-203.  doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.002

Taws, S.R., R. Marsh, N.C. Wells, J. Hirschi (2011): Re-emerging ocean temperature anomalies in late 2010 associated with a repeat negative NAO, Geophysical Research Letters, 8: L20601.  doi:10.1029/2011GL048978

Tindall, J. C., Valdesm P. J. (2011): Modeling the 8.2 ka event using a coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMC312-321, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.004.

2010

Challenor, P., McNeall, D., Gattiker, J. (2010): Assessing the probability of rare climate events, In, O\'Hagan, Anthony and West, Mike (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis, Oxford University Press: 403-430.  ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199548903.do

Hawkins, E., Sutton, R. (2010): The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change, Climate Dynamics, in press.  doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

McDonagh, E. L., McLeod, P., King, B. A. Bryden, H. L., Torres Valdes, S. (2010): Circulation, heat and freshwater transport at 36°N in the Atlantic, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40: 2661-2678.  doi:10.1175/2010JPO4176.1

2009

Challenor, P.G. (2009): Comments by P.Challenor on Goldstein and Rougier, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139 (3): 1248-1248.  doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2008.08.012

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2009): Reified Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Physical Systems, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(3): 1221-1239.  doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2008.07.019

2008

Lenton, T.L., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J.W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H.J. (2008): Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system, Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA, 105 (6): 1786-1793.  doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105

Sanderson, B.M., Knutti, R., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Ingram, W. J., Piani, C., Stainforth, D. A., Stone, D. A., Allen, M. R. (2008): Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes, Journal of Climate, 21: 2384-2400.  doi:doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1869.1

2007

Balmaseda, M. A., Smith, G. C., Haines, K., Anderson, D., Palmer, T. N., and Vidard, A. (2007): Historical reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from the ECMWF operational ocean reanalysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34(23).  doi:10.1029/2007GL031645

Swingedouw, D., Braconnot, P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E., Marti, O. (2007): Quantifying the AMOC feedbacks during a 2xCO(2) stabilization experiment with land-ice melting, Climate Dynamics, 29: 521-534.  doi:10.1007/S00382-007-0250-0

2006

Knutti, R., Meehl, G.A., Allen, M. R., Stainforth, D. A. (2006): Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature, Journal of Climate, 19: 4224-4233.  doi:10.1175/JCLI3865.1

2005

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C (2005): Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems, Journal of the American Statistical AssociationPre-print

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C (2005): Reified Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Physical Systems, Journal of Statistical Planning and InferencePre-print

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2005): Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems, SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 26: 467-487.  doi:10.1137/S106482750342670X

Lavender, K. L., Owens, W. B., Davis, R. E. (2005): The mid-depth circulation of the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean as measured by subsurface floats, Deep Sea Research, 52: 767-785.  doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2004.12.007

Rougier, J. C (2005): Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Simulator Evaluations, Climatic Changewww.maths.dur.ac.uk/stats/people/jcr/CCrevisionA4.pdf

2004

2003