NERC Homepage Rapid Programme home page Go to the Marine Sciences home page Go to the Directed Programmes main page View the main
Marine Science

Rapid Climate Change

Second RAPID Annual Science Meeting and Workshops
Swansea, 28 June - 1 July, 2005

The Second Annual Science meeting of the Rapid Climate Change programme (RAPID) was held from 29 June - 1st July 2005 at the University of Swansea. The meeting consisted of keynote talks, project presentations, discussions and posters sessions. Details of the presentations and posters may be found in the Agenda, which contains links to abstracts and presentations where available.

The meeting was preceeded on Tuesday 28 June 2005 by two full-day parallel workshops:

Reports from the workshops were discussed in two dedicated discussion sessions during the annual meeting. Abstracts and full workshops presentations (where available) may be found by following links in the schedules below.

Following the discussion on the probability of climate change, those attending the workshop were asked their views in a quick survey. The results of this is published here (PDF, 115KB).

Annual Science Meeting - Agenda RAPID Annual Meeting 2005 Agenda

Thursday 30 June   Friday 1 July   Posters   Workshop on the 8.2kyr event     Modelling workshop

Wednesday 29 June 2005

12:30 Arrival, registration, tea, coffee
13:30 Welcome Lloyd Keigwin
Chair Steering Committee
13:35 Introduction Meric Srokosz
Science Coordinator
13:45 COAPEC: A precursor to RAPID? (Invited lecture)
[Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Processes and European Climate]
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 3.6 MB)
Helen Snaith, COAPEC
Science Coordinator
  Chair: John Lowe
14:30 Predictability of Rapid Climate change associated with the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 0.5MB)
Rowan Sutton
14:45 The North Atlantic storm track and its moisture transports
David Brayshaw
15:00 The impact of surface flux anomalies on the mid high latitude Atlantic ocean circulation
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 1.9 MB)
Jeremy Grist
Simon Josey
  Tea & Posters
15:45 The 8.2kyear event - workshop report (30’) & discussion (30’) Jonathan Holmes
Alayne Street-Perrott
Eric Wolff
16:45 Students introduce their posters (1 minute each)
17:15 Student poster session + judging
18:30 End of session

To top of page     Wednesday 29 June     Fri 1 July     Workshop on the 8.2kyr event     Modelling workshop

Thursday 30 June 2005

  Chair: Jochem Marotzke
09:00 Dissecting Meridional Transports (Invited lecture)
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 12MB)
Peter Rhines
09:45 Wave communication of high latitude forcing perturbations over the North Atlantic
Abstract   Presentation (PDF:9.2MB)
Vassil Roussenov
10:00 Monitoring DWBC variability with dynamic height moorings
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 1.1 MB + MPG loop: 22MB)
Bill Johns
10:15 RAPID data management
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 3.7 MB)
Robin McCandliss
10:30 Coffee & posters
11:00 Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning at 26.5°N: A data report for year 1 (March 2004 to May 2005)
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 5.4MB)
Stuart Cunningham
11:15 Monitoring of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Lessons from two precursory experiments
Torsten Kanzow
11:30 Baroclinic variability of the meridional overturning circulation
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 9.7MB)
Joel Hirschi
11:45 Temperature variability of the Northern Atlantic Ocean in the last six years according to the ARGO data
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 10 MB)
Vladimir Ivchenko
12:00 Understanding human behaviour and responses to rapid climate change (ESRC Human Dimensions Programme)
Abstract     4 presentations: Arnell (PDF: 0.7 MB) Petts (PDF: 0.2 MB) Pelling (PDF: 0.5 MB)
Mark Pelling
14:00 Main poster session
15:30 Tea & Posters
  Chair: David Stevens
16:00 Harry’s challenge (modelling v. observations)
16:00 Hindcasting the Atlantic thermohaline circulation over 1985-2002
Abstract     Presentation (PDF: 1.8 MB)
Bob Marsh
16:15 Variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 25°N
Harry Bryden
16:30 Modelling 20th century changes in the Atlantic MOC
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 1.7MB)
Richard Wood
Yvonne Searl
16:45 Discussion
17:15 The probability of rapid climate change   Followed by discussion
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 1.7MB)
Peter Challenor
17:45 The 36N Consortium   Presentation (PDF: 1.7MB)
Ric Williams
17:55 Brief introductions to 2nd and joint international AO projects
18:30 End of session
Conference Dinner
The 'Art of Climate Change', talk by David Buckland, Cape Farewell

To top of page     Wednesday 29 June     Fri 1 July     Posters     Workshop on the 8.2kyr event     Modelling workshop

Friday 1 July 2005

  Chair: Peter Haugan
09:00 Consistent simulations of multiple proxy responses to an abrupt climate change event
Presentation withheld pending publication
Gavin Schmidt
09:45 The role of the cryosphere in modulating the thermohaline circulation of the Atlantic: progress report and results 
John Shepherd
10:00 Arctic Regulations of the Thermohaline Circulation (ARTHER)
Abstract   Presentation: "Not the advertised talk" (PDF: 225KB)
Sheldon Bacon
10:15 Model inter-comparison - workshop report
Presentation (PDF: 5.9MB)
Jonathan Gregory
10:45 Coffee & posters
11:15 Model inter-comparison - discussion Jonathan Gregory
11:45 Coupled model simulations of ENSO in mid-Holocene, present day and future climate
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 0.9MB)
Jo Brown
12:00 Simulated and reconstructed climate variability during the last 1000 years
Tim Osborn
12:15 The atmospheric water vapour budget and its relevance to the Thermohaline Circulation
Mariane Coutihno
12:30 Tropical Pacific ocean adjustment to changes in the hydrological cycle
Abstract   Presentation (PDF: 7.8 MB)
Paul Williams
12:45 Where next? Meric Srokosz
Science Coordinator
14:00 Meeting closes

To top of page     Wednesday 29 June   Thursday 30 June   Fri 1 July     Workshop on the 8.2kyr event     Modelling workshop


William Austin: North Atlantic reservoir ages linked to high Younger Dryas atmospheric radiocarbon   Abstract
Colin Cotter: Finite element modelling of open ocean deep convection   Abstract
Keith Haines: Data assimilation & open-ocean model transports   Abstract
Ian Hall: Multi-decadal Ocean Variability and NW European Ice Sheet Surges during the last deglaciation   Abstract
Taro Hosoe: Preliminary results on coupling a fast AOGCM to a thermo-mechanical model of Greenland ice-sheet.   Abstract
Kevin Marsh: The RAPID Data Centre   Abstract   Poster (PDF: 6.5MB)
Nick McCave: Sampling the northern boundary of the North Atlantic: Cruise 159 of RRS Charles Darwin for RAPID   Abstract   Poster (PPT: 3.5MB)
J Simstich: Deglacial and Holocene Changes in the Waters of the Faroe-Shetland Channel   Abstract   Poster (PPT: 1.5MB)
Siobhan McGarry: Holocene Climate Variability along the North Atlantic European Margin:evidence from speleothem trace elements   Abstract
Adrian New: Comparison of the CHIME Coupled Climate Model with HadCM3   Abstract
Darren Rayner: RAPID-MOC (Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning at 26.5°N): A data report for year 1, March 2004 to May 2005   Abstract
Jonathan Rougier: Climate Inference with Imperfect Climate Models   Abstract
Liz Thomas: High-resolution analysis of Dansgaard-Oeschger event 8 from the North Greenland Ice Core Project ice core   Abstract   Poster (PPT: 0.5MB)
John Toole: Investigating the characteristics and consequences of interannual variations in the Northwest Atlantic's deep Western Boundary Current   Abstract
Gerard van der Schrier: Detectability of MOC-changes in terrestrial proxies   Abstract
Neil Wells: Energy conversion in the ocean linked with generation and propagation of fast bartropic Rossby waves   Abstract

Student Posters

Tim Daley: Terrestrial evidence of rapid Holocene climatic departures coincident with events in the North Atlantic Ocean   Abstract
Helena Evans: Spatial reconstruction of deep water flow in the sub-tropical NW Atlantic at sharp climatic transitions   Abstract
Lisa Fuller: The Isotope hydrology of Uamh an Tartair cave system, Sutherland, NW Scotland and the implications for palaeoclimatic research   Abstract   Poster (PPT: 5.8MB)
Philip Goodwin: Is atmospheric carbon dioxide more sensitive to change during glacial periods?   Abstract
Rachel Hadfield: Using ARGO float data to examine the North Atlantic Heat Budget   Abstract
Sally Hunter: Patterns of sedimentation across the Eirik Drift revealed by echo-character studies   Abstract
Hannah Longworth: Historical Estimates of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation   Abstract
Doug McNeall: The Probability of Rapid Climate Change: Reducing Dimensionality in the Bayesian Analysis of a Numerical Climate Model   Abstract
Aazani Mujahid: Towards an Operational Array for Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation   Abstract
Claire Smith: Automated chronology building in speleothems   Abstract   Poster (PPT: 2.6MB)
Jenny Stanford: Initial results from a high resolution study of the Younger Dryas and Bolling-Allerod, Eirik Drift, South of Greenland   Abstract
David Wilkinson: Spatial & Temporal Variability Of The East Greenland Coastal Current From Historic Data   Abstract

To top of page     Wednesday 29 June   Thursday 30 June   Fri 1 July     Posters     Modelling workshop    

Tuesday 28 June 2005 Workshop Scehdules

A. The 8.2 kyr event:
B. THC model intercomparison:             Presentation (PPT: 1MB + PDF: 5MB)

To see individual presentations follow links in the agendas below

Workshop A: One-day workshop on the 8200-year climatic event
Organisers: Jonathan Holmes, Alayne Street-Perrott & Eric Wolff

09:30-09:45 Introduction and welcome Jonathan Holmes
09:45-10:15 An overview of the 8200-year event   Presentation (PDF: 1.1 MB) Eelco Rohling
10:15-10:45 The pathway and impact of fresh water discharge through Hudson Strait 8200 years ago   Presentation (PDF: 0.7 MB) David C. Chapman
Lloyd D. Keigwin
Steven J. Lentz
Peter Winsor
10:45-11:15 Late-glacial outbursts from Lake Agassiz, and changes in the routing of runoff from North America Jim Teller
11:15-11:45 Tea/Coffee Refectory,
Fulton House
11:45-12:15 Discussion Session (Chair: Alayne Street-Perrott)
What caused the 8200-yr climatic event?
12:15-12:45 The 8.2 kyr event observed in Greenland
  Presentation (PDF: 2.2 MB)
Liz Thomas
12:45-14:00 Lunch
14:00-14:30 Comparison of ion probe, micromill and laser ablation isotope data for the CC3 speleothem from Crag Cave: no oxygen isotope anomaly at 8.2ka Dave Mattey
14:30-15:00 Preliminary evidence for the age and duration of the 8.2 kyr cold event from Pippikin Pot, Yorkshire Dales Phil Hopley
15:00-15:30 Tea/Coffee Refectory,
Fulton House
15:30-16:00 The 8.2 kyr event and early Holocene cycles: oxygen isotopic evidence from Hawes Water, NW England Jim Marshall
Graham Weedon
16:00-16:30 The how's and why's of modelling the 8.2 kyr event Gavin Schmidt
16:30-17:00 Modelling the 8.2kyr event and stable water isotopes using HadCM3: early results Julia Tindall
17:00-18:00 Discussion Session (Chair: Eric Wolff)
What caused the event, what do we know and what remains to be found out? Implications of the event for RAPID
18:00 Close

To top of page     Wednesday 29 June   Thursday 30 June   Fri 1 July     Posters     A: The 8.2 kyr event    

Workshop B: The UK model THC intercomparison project
Organiser: Jonathan Gregory

10:30-11:00 Tea/Coffee and Registration Fulton House
11:00-12:00 Introduction and aims of the project Jonathan Gregory
12:00-12:30 HadCM3 and HadGEM1 Anne Pardaens
Michael Vellinga
12:30-12:45 HiGEM Len Shaffrey
12:45-13:30 Lunch
13:30-13:45 CHIME Alex Megann
13:45-14:00 FAMOUS Jonathan Gregory
14:00-14:15 FORTE Bablu Sinha
14:15-14:30 GENIE Neil Edwards
14:30-15:30 Standard experiments and analyses to be done with all models
15:30-16:00 Tea/Coffee Refectory,
Fulton House
14:30-15:30 Possible further experiments and analyses for some or all models
14:30-15:30 Practicalities: resources required (CPU and staff), timescales, diagnostics to be archived, communication and coordination
18:00 Close

To top of page    

Maintained by Val Byfield
Last modified: January 16 2013 08:33