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Second RAPID Annual Science Meeting and Workshops
Swansea, 28 June - 1 July, 2005
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The Second Annual Science meeting of the Rapid Climate Change programme (RAPID) was held from 29 June - 1st July 2005 at the University of Swansea. The meeting consisted of keynote talks, project presentations, discussions and posters sessions. Details of the presentations and posters may be found in the
Agenda, which contains links to abstracts and presentations where available.
The meeting was preceeded on Tuesday 28 June 2005 by two full-day parallel workshops:
Reports from the workshops were discussed in two dedicated discussion sessions during the annual meeting. Abstracts and full
workshops presentations (where available) may be found by following links in the schedules below.
Following the discussion on the probability of climate change, those attending the workshop were asked their views in a quick survey. The results of this is published here .
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Annual Science Meeting - Agenda
Thursday 30 June
Friday 1 July
Posters
Workshop on the 8.2kyr event
Modelling workshop
Wednesday 29 June 2005
12:30 |
Arrival, registration, tea, coffee |
13:30 |
Welcome |
Lloyd Keigwin Chair Steering Committee |
13:35 |
Introduction |
Meric Srokosz Science Coordinator |
13:45 |
COAPEC: A precursor to RAPID? (Invited lecture)
[Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Processes and European Climate]
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 3.6 MB)
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Helen Snaith, COAPEC Science Coordinator |
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Chair: John Lowe |
14:30 |
Predictability of Rapid Climate change associated with the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 0.5MB)
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Rowan Sutton |
14:45 |
The North Atlantic storm track and its moisture transports
Abstract
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David Brayshaw |
15:00 |
The impact of surface flux anomalies on the mid high latitude Atlantic ocean circulation
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 1.9 MB)
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Jeremy Grist Simon Josey |
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Tea & Posters |
15:45 |
The 8.2kyear event - workshop report (30) & discussion (30) |
Jonathan Holmes Alayne Street-Perrott Eric Wolff |
16:45 |
Students introduce their posters (1 minute each) |
17:15 |
Student poster session + judging |
18:30 |
End of session |
20:00 |
Dinner |
To top of page
Wednesday 29 June
Fri 1 July
Workshop on the 8.2kyr event
Modelling workshop
Thursday 30 June 2005
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Chair: Jochem Marotzke |
09:00 |
Dissecting Meridional Transports (Invited lecture)
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 12MB)
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Peter Rhines |
09:45 |
Wave communication of high latitude forcing perturbations over the North Atlantic
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF:9.2MB)
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Vassil Roussenov |
10:00 |
Monitoring DWBC variability with dynamic height moorings
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 1.1 MB + MPG loop: 22MB)
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Bill Johns |
10:15 |
RAPID data management
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 3.7 MB)
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Robin McCandliss |
10:30 |
Coffee & posters |
11:00 |
Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning at 26.5°N: A data report for year 1 (March 2004 to May 2005)
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 5.4MB)
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Stuart Cunningham |
11:15 |
Monitoring of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Lessons from two precursory experiments
Abstract
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Torsten Kanzow |
11:30 |
Baroclinic variability of the meridional overturning circulation
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 9.7MB)
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Joel Hirschi |
11:45 |
Temperature variability of the Northern Atlantic Ocean in the last six years according to the ARGO data
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 10 MB)
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Vladimir Ivchenko |
12:00 |
Understanding human behaviour and responses to rapid climate change (ESRC Human Dimensions Programme)
Abstract
4 presentations:
Arnell
(PDF: 0.7 MB)
Petts
(PDF: 0.2 MB)
Pelling
(PDF: 0.5 MB)
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Mark Pelling |
12:45 |
Lunch |
14:00 |
Main poster session |
15:30 |
Tea & Posters |
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Chair: David Stevens |
16:00 |
Harrys challenge (modelling v. observations) |
16:00 |
Hindcasting the Atlantic thermohaline circulation over 1985-2002
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 1.8 MB)
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Bob Marsh |
16:15 |
Variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 25°N
Abstract
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Harry Bryden |
16:30 |
Modelling 20th century changes in the Atlantic MOC
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 1.7MB)
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Richard Wood Yvonne Searl |
16:45 |
Discussion |
17:15 |
The probability of rapid climate change
Followed by discussion
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 1.7MB)
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Peter Challenor |
17:45 |
The 36N Consortium
www.bodc.ac.uk/36n/
Presentation
(PDF: 1.7MB)
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Ric Williams |
17:55 |
Brief introductions to 2nd and joint international AO projects
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18:30 |
End of session
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20:00 |
Conference Dinner
The 'Art of Climate Change', talk by
David Buckland,
Cape Farewell
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To top of page
Wednesday 29 June
Fri 1 July
Posters
Workshop on the 8.2kyr event
Modelling workshop
Friday 1 July 2005
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Chair: Peter Haugan |
09:00 |
Consistent simulations of multiple proxy responses to an abrupt climate change event
Abstract
Presentation withheld pending publication
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Gavin Schmidt |
09:45 |
The role of the cryosphere in modulating the thermohaline circulation of the Atlantic: progress report and results
Abstract
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John Shepherd |
10:00 |
Arctic Regulations of the Thermohaline Circulation (ARTHER)
Abstract
Presentation: "Not the advertised talk"
(PDF: 225KB)
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Sheldon Bacon |
10:15 |
Model inter-comparison - workshop report
Presentation
(PDF: 5.9MB)
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Jonathan Gregory |
10:45 |
Coffee & posters |
11:15 |
Model inter-comparison - discussion |
Jonathan Gregory |
11:45 |
Coupled model simulations of ENSO in mid-Holocene, present day and future climate
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 0.9MB)
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Jo Brown |
12:00 |
Simulated and reconstructed climate variability during the last 1000 years
Abstract
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Tim Osborn |
12:15 |
The atmospheric water vapour budget and its relevance to the Thermohaline Circulation
Abstract
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Mariane Coutihno |
12:30 |
Tropical Pacific ocean adjustment to changes in the hydrological cycle
Abstract
Presentation
(PDF: 7.8 MB)
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Paul Williams |
12:45 |
Where next?
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Meric Srokosz Science Coordinator |
13:15 |
Lunch |
14:00 |
Meeting closes |
To top of page
Wednesday 29 June
Thursday 30 June
Fri 1 July
Workshop on the 8.2kyr event
Modelling workshop
Posters
William Austin: |
North Atlantic reservoir ages linked to high Younger Dryas atmospheric radiocarbon
Abstract
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Colin Cotter: |
Finite element modelling of open ocean deep convection
Abstract
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Keith Haines: |
Data assimilation & open-ocean model transports
Abstract
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Ian Hall: |
Multi-decadal Ocean Variability and NW European Ice Sheet Surges during the last deglaciation
Abstract
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Taro Hosoe: |
Preliminary results on coupling a fast AOGCM to a thermo-mechanical model of Greenland ice-sheet.
Abstract
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Kevin Marsh: |
The RAPID Data Centre
Abstract
Poster
(PDF: 6.5MB)
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Nick McCave: |
Sampling the northern boundary of the North Atlantic: Cruise 159 of RRS Charles Darwin for RAPID
Abstract
Poster
(PPT: 3.5MB)
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J Simstich: |
Deglacial and Holocene Changes in the Waters of the Faroe-Shetland Channel
Abstract
Poster
(PPT: 1.5MB)
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Siobhan McGarry: |
Holocene Climate Variability along the North Atlantic European Margin:evidence from speleothem trace elements
Abstract
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Adrian New: |
Comparison of the CHIME Coupled Climate Model with HadCM3
Abstract
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Darren Rayner: |
RAPID-MOC (Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning at 26.5°N): A data report for year 1, March 2004 to May 2005
Abstract
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Jonathan Rougier: |
Climate Inference with Imperfect Climate Models
Abstract
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Liz Thomas: |
High-resolution analysis of Dansgaard-Oeschger event 8 from the North Greenland Ice Core Project ice core
Abstract
Poster
(PPT: 0.5MB)
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John Toole: |
Investigating the characteristics and consequences of interannual variations in the Northwest Atlantic's deep Western Boundary Current
Abstract
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Gerard van der Schrier: |
Detectability of MOC-changes in terrestrial proxies
Abstract
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Neil Wells: |
Energy conversion in the ocean linked with generation and propagation of fast bartropic Rossby waves
Abstract
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Student Posters
Tim Daley: |
Terrestrial evidence of rapid Holocene climatic departures coincident with events in the North Atlantic Ocean
Abstract
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Helena Evans: |
Spatial reconstruction of deep water flow in the sub-tropical NW Atlantic at sharp climatic transitions
Abstract
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Lisa Fuller: |
The Isotope hydrology of Uamh an Tartair cave system, Sutherland, NW Scotland and the implications for palaeoclimatic research
Abstract
Poster
(PPT: 5.8MB)
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Philip Goodwin: |
Is atmospheric carbon dioxide more sensitive to change during glacial periods?
Abstract
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Rachel Hadfield: |
Using ARGO float data to examine the North Atlantic Heat Budget
Abstract
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Sally Hunter: |
Patterns of sedimentation across the Eirik Drift revealed by echo-character studies
Abstract
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Hannah Longworth: |
Historical Estimates of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Abstract
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Doug McNeall: |
The Probability of Rapid Climate Change: Reducing Dimensionality in the Bayesian Analysis of a Numerical Climate Model
Abstract
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Aazani Mujahid: |
Towards an Operational Array for Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Abstract
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Claire Smith: |
Automated chronology building in speleothems
Abstract
Poster
(PPT: 2.6MB)
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Jenny Stanford: |
Initial results from a high resolution study of the Younger Dryas and Bolling-Allerod, Eirik Drift, South of Greenland
Abstract
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David Wilkinson: |
Spatial & Temporal Variability Of The East Greenland Coastal Current From Historic Data
Abstract
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To top of page
Wednesday 29 June
Thursday 30 June
Fri 1 July
Posters
Modelling workshop
Tuesday 28 June 2005 Workshop Scehdules
To see individual presentations follow links in the agendas below
Workshop A: One-day workshop on the 8200-year climatic event
Organisers: Jonathan Holmes, Alayne Street-Perrott & Eric Wolff
09:30-09:45 |
Introduction and welcome |
Jonathan Holmes |
09:45-10:15 |
An overview of the 8200-year event
Presentation
(PDF: 1.1 MB)
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Eelco Rohling |
10:15-10:45 |
The pathway and impact of fresh water discharge through Hudson Strait 8200 years ago
Presentation
(PDF: 0.7 MB)
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David C. Chapman Lloyd D. Keigwin Steven J. Lentz Peter Winsor
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10:45-11:15 |
Late-glacial outbursts from Lake Agassiz, and changes in the routing of runoff from North America
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Jim Teller |
11:15-11:45 |
Tea/Coffee |
Refectory, Fulton House |
11:45-12:15 |
Discussion Session (Chair: Alayne Street-Perrott)
What caused the 8200-yr climatic event?
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All |
12:15-12:45 |
The 8.2 kyr event observed in Greenland
Presentation
(PDF: 2.2 MB)
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Liz Thomas |
12:45-14:00 |
Lunch |
14:00-14:30 |
Comparison of ion probe, micromill and laser ablation isotope data for the CC3 speleothem from Crag Cave: no oxygen isotope anomaly at 8.2ka
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Dave Mattey |
14:30-15:00 |
Preliminary evidence for the age and duration of the 8.2 kyr cold event from Pippikin Pot, Yorkshire Dales
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Phil Hopley |
15:00-15:30 |
Tea/Coffee |
Refectory, Fulton House |
15:30-16:00 |
The 8.2 kyr event and early Holocene cycles: oxygen isotopic evidence from Hawes Water, NW England
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Jim Marshall Graham Weedon |
16:00-16:30 |
The how's and why's of modelling the 8.2 kyr event
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Gavin Schmidt |
16:30-17:00 |
Modelling the 8.2kyr event and stable water isotopes using HadCM3: early results
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Julia Tindall |
17:00-18:00 |
Discussion Session (Chair: Eric Wolff)
What caused the event, what do we know and what remains to be found out? Implications of the event for RAPID
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All |
18:00 |
Close |
19:30 |
Dinner |
To top of page
Wednesday 29 June
Thursday 30 June
Fri 1 July
Posters
A: The 8.2 kyr event
Workshop B: The UK model THC intercomparison project
Organiser: Jonathan Gregory
10:30-11:00 |
Tea/Coffee and Registration |
Fulton House |
11:00-12:00 |
Introduction and aims of the project |
Jonathan Gregory |
12:00-12:30 |
HadCM3 and HadGEM1
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Anne Pardaens Michael Vellinga |
12:30-12:45 |
HiGEM
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Len Shaffrey |
12:45-13:30 |
Lunch |
13:30-13:45 |
CHIME
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Alex Megann |
13:45-14:00 |
FAMOUS
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Jonathan Gregory |
14:00-14:15 |
FORTE
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Bablu Sinha |
14:15-14:30 |
GENIE
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Neil Edwards |
14:30-15:30 |
Standard experiments and analyses to be done with all models
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15:30-16:00 |
Tea/Coffee |
Refectory, Fulton House |
14:30-15:30 |
Possible further experiments and analyses for some or all models
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14:30-15:30 |
Practicalities: resources required (CPU and staff), timescales, diagnostics to be archived, communication and coordination
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18:00 |
Close |
19:30 |
Dinner |
To top of page
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