RAPID-WATCH Home A a directed programme for NERC
 

News

Related Publications

The papers listed below are of interest to the RAPID community, published by RAPID researchers or their associates, but are not based on work carried out as part of the RAPID programme. A list of publications of research funded in RAPID or RAPID-WATCH can be found HERE.


Most recent papers:

Mignac, D., D. Ferreira and K. Haine (2019): Decoupled Freshwater Transport and Meridional Overturning in the South Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(4), 2178-2186.  doi:10.1029/2018GL081328

Monerie, P.-A., J. Robson, B. Dong, D.L.R. Hodson, N.P. Klingaman (2019): Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Global Monsoon, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(3), 1765-1775.  doi:10.1029/2018GL080903

Hallam, S., R.Marsh, S.A. Josey, P.Hyder, B.Moat, J.J.-M. Hirschi (2019): Ocean precursors to the extreme Atlantic 2017 hurricane season, Nature Communications, 10, 896.  doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08496-4


All papers in alphabetical order

A   B   C   D   E   F   G   H   I   J   K   L   M   N   O   P   Q   R   S   T   U   V   W   X   Y   Z  


A

Asrat, A., A. Baker, M.U. Mohammed, M.J. Leng, P. Van Calsteren, C. Smith (2007): A high-resolution multi-proxy stalagmite record from Mechara, Southeastern Ethiopia: palaeohydrological implications for speleothem palaeoclimate reconstruction, Journal of Quaternary Science, 22: 53-63. DOI: 10.1002/jqs.1013.

Austin, W. E. N., Telford, R. J., Ninnemann, U. S., Brown, L., Wilson, L. J., Small, D. P., Bryant, C. L. (2011): North Atlantic reservoir ages linked to high Younger Dryas atmospheric radiocarbon concentrations, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 226-233. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.06.011.

B

Ba, J., N.S. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins., H.Ding (2013): A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Climate Dynamics, 41: 2133-2144. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4.

Baker, H.S., R.J. Millar, D.J. Karoly, U. Beyerle, B.P. Guillod, D. Mitchell, H. Shiogama, S. Sparrow, T.Woollings, M.R. Allen (2018): Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5 °C world, Nature Climate Change, 8: 604-608. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0190-1.

Baker, A., Wilson, R., Fairchild, I.J., Franke, J., Spötl, C., Mattey, D., Trouet, V., Fuller, L. (2011): High resolution δ18O and δ13C records from an annually laminated Scottish stalagmite and relationship with last millennium climate, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.007

Baldini, L.M., F. McDermott, J. U.L.Baldini, P. Arias, M. Cuetod, I. J.Fairchilde, D.L. Hoffmann, D.P. Mattey, W. Muller, D.C. Nita, R. Ontanon, C. Garcia-Moncod, D.A.Richard (201): Regional temperature, atmospheric circulation, and sea-ice variability within the Younger Dryas Event constrained using a speleothem from northern Iberia, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 419: 101-110. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2015.03.015.

Balmaseda, M. A., Smith, G. C., Haines, K., Anderson, D., Palmer, T. N., and Vidard, A. (2007): Historical reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from the ECMWF operational ocean reanalysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34(23). DOI: 10.1029/2007GL031645.

Balmaseda, M.A., Mogensen, K., Weaver, A. (2013): Evaluation of the ECMWF Ocean Reanalysis ORAS4, Quaterly Journal Roy. Met. Soc. A, 139: 1132-1161. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2063.

Baringer, M. O. and Larsen, J. C. (2001): Sixteen years of Florida Current Transport at 27N, Geophysical Research Letters, 28(16): 3179-3182. DOI: doi: 10.1029/2001GL013246.

Bigg, G. R., Levine, R. C., Green, C. L. (2011): Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 176-192. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.001.

Bower, A., Lozier, S., Biastoch, A.,Drouin, K., Foukal, N., Furey, H., Lankhorst, M., Rühs, S., Zou, S. (2019): Lagrangian views of the pathways of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, JGR Oceans, 124. DOI: 10.1029/2019JC015014.

Briffa, K.R., V.V. Shishov, T.M. Melvin, E.A. Vaganov , H. Grudd , R.M. Hantemirov, M. Eronen,M.M. Naurzbaev (2008): Trends in recent temperature and radial tree growth spanning 2000 years across northwest Eurasia, Phil. trans. R. Soc. B, Biological sciences, 363: 2271-84. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2199.

Busby, S., K.R. Briffa T J. Osborn (2007): Simulation of ENSO forcings on U.S. drought by the HadCM3 coupled climate model, Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. DOI: 10.1029/2007JD008705.

Böning, C.W. E. Behrens, A. Biastoch, K. Getzlaff, and J.L. Bamber (2016): Emerging impact of Greenland meltwater on deepwater formation in the North Atlantic Ocean, Nature Geoscience, 9: 523-527. DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2740.

C

Carton, J.A. and Hakkinen, S. (2011): Climate and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Deep Sea Research II Special Issue, 58 (17-18): 1741-1944 (September 2011)

Carton, J.A., Cunningham, S.A., FraJka-Williams,E., Kwon, Y.O., Marshall,D., Msadek, R. (2014): The Atlantic Overturning Circulation: More Evidence of Variability and Links to Climate, Summary of the 2013 U.S. AMOC – U.K. RAPID International Science Meeting, Am.Met.Soc, BAMS August 2014: 163-166. Meeting Summary

Challenor, P., McNeall, D., Gattiker, J. (2010): Assessing the probability of rare climate events, In, O\'Hagan, Anthony and West, Mike (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis, Oxford University Press: 403-430. ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199548903.do

Challenor, P.G. (2009): Comments by P.Challenor on Goldstein and Rougier, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139 (3): 1248-1248. DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2008.08.012.

Chapman, S.C., D.A. Stainforth, N.W. Watkins (2015): Limits to the quantification of local climate change, Environmental Research Letters, 10. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094018.

Chapman, S.C., D.A. Stainforth, N.W. Watkins (2013): On estimating local long-term climate trends, Phil. trans. R. Soc. A, Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 371. DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2012.0287.

Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kuwano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C.H. O’Reilly, R.Sutton, S.-P. Xie, O. Zolina (2018): Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics, Nature Climate Change, 8: 101-108. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8.

Cox, K.A., J.D. Stanford, A. J. McVicar, E. J. Rohling, K. J. Heywood, S. Bacon, M. Bolshaw, P. A. Dodd, S. De la Rosa, D. Wilkinson (2010): Interannual variability of Arctic sea ice export into the East Greenland Current, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115(C12). DOI: 10.1029/2010JC006227.

D

Desbruyères, D.G., E.L. McDonagh, B.A. King, F.K. Garry, A.T. Blaker, B.I. Moat, H. Mercier (2014): Full-depth temperature trends in the northeastern Atlantic through the early 21st century, Geophysical Research Letters, 41(22): 971-7979. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL061844.

E

Evans, G.R., E.L. McDonagh, B.A. King, H.L. Bryden, D.C.E. Bakker, P.J. Brown, U. Schuster, K.G. Speer, S.M.A.C. van Heuven (2017): South Atlantic interbasin exchanges of mass, heat, salt and anthropogenic carbon, Progress in Oceanography, 151: 62-82. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2016.11.005.

F

Fischer, J., J. Karstensen, R. Zantopp, M. Visbeck, A. Biastoch, E. Behrens, C.W. Böning, D. Quadfasel, K. Jochumsen, H.Valdimarsson' S.Jonsson, S.Bacon, N.P. Holliday, S. Dye, M. Rhein, C. Mertense (2015): Intra-seasonal variability of the DWBC in the western subpolar North Atlantic, Progress in Oceanography, 132: 233-249. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2014.04.002.

G

Gary, S.F.; Cunningham, S.A.; Johnson, C.; Houpert, L.; Holliday, N.P.; Behrens, E.; Biastoch, A.; Böning, C.W. (2018): Seasonal cycles of oceanic transports in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic, JGR, Oceans, 123(2): 1471-1484. DOI: 10.1002/2017JC013350.

Germe, A., F. Sévellec, J. Mignot, A. Fedorov, S. Nguyen and D. Swingedouw (2017): The impacts of oceanic deep temperature perturbations in the North Atlantic on decadal climate variability and predictability, Climate Dynamics, 51(5-6): 2341-2357. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-4016-z.

Goddard, P.B., Yin, J., Griffies, S.M., Zhang, S. (2015): An extreme event of sea-level rise along the Northeast coast of North America in 2009-2010, Nature Communication. DOI: 10.1038/ncomms7346.

Goes, M. (2009): Eddy Formation in the Tropical Atlantic Induced by Abrupt Changes in the Meridional Overturning Circulation, Journal of Physical Oceanography. DOI: 10.1175/2009JPO4004.1.

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C (2005): Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems, Journal of the American Statistical Association. Pre-print

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2005): Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems, SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 26: 467-487. DOI: 10.1137/S106482750342670X.

Goldstein, M., Rougier, J. C. (2009): Reified Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Physical Systems, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(3): 1221-1239. DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2008.07.019.

Griggs J.A., Bamber, J.L. (2008): Assessment of Cloud Cover Characteristics in Satellite Datasets and Reanalysis Products for Greenland, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1570.1.

Gulev, S.K. Latif, M. (2015): Ocean science: The origins of a climate oscillation, Nature, 521: 428-430. DOI: 10.1038/521428a.

H

Haines, K., J. A. Johannessen, P. Knudsen, D. Lea, M.-H. Rio, L. Bertino, F. Davidson, and F. Hernandez (2011): An ocean modelling and assimilation guide to using GOCE geoid products, Ocean Science, 7: 151-164. DOI: 10.5194/os-7-151-2011.

Hall, I.R., Evans, H.K., Thornalley, D.J.R. (2011): Deep water flow speed and surface ocean changes in the subtropical North Atlantic during the last deglaciation, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 255-263. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.12.001.

Hall, R.A. (2013): Internal Wave Reflection on Shelf Slopes with Depth-Varying Stratificatio, Journal of Physical Oceanography. DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-11-0192.1.

Hallam, S., R.Marsh, S.A. Josey, P.Hyder, B.Moat, J.J.-M. Hirschi (2019): Ocean precursors to the extreme Atlantic 2017 hurricane season, Nature Communications, 10: 896. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08496-4.

Hansen, B., K. M. H. Larsen, H. Hatun, and S. Østerhus (A stable Faroe Bank Channel overflow 1995-2015): Ocean Science, 12, 1205-1220: 10.5194/os-12-1205-2016.

Haustein, K., F.E.L. Otto, P. Uhe, N. Schaller, M.R. Allen, L. Hermanson, N. Christidis, P. McLean and H. Cullen (2016): Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs Environmental Research Letters, : 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064006

Hawkins, E. and R. Sutton (2009): The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1.

Hawkins, E., Sutton, R. (2010): The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change, Climate Dynamics, in press. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6.

Higginson, S., K R. Thompson, P L. Woodworth, C.W. Hughes (2015): The tilt of mean sea level along the east coast of North America, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(5): 1471-1479. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063186.

Holliday, N.P., S.L. Hughes, S. Bacon, A. Beszczynska‐Möller, B. Hansen, A. Lavín, H. Loeng, K. A. Mork, S. Østerhus, T.Sherwin, W. Walczowski (2008): Reversal of the 1960s to 1990s freshening trend in the northeast North Atlantic and Nordic Seas, Geophysical Research Letters, 35(3). DOI: 10.1029/2007GL032675.

Houpert, L., Inall,M.E., Dumont,E., Gary,S., Johnson, C., Porter, M., Johns, W.E., Cunningham, S.A. (2018): Structure and Transport of the North Atlantic Current in the Eastern Subpolar Gyre From Sustained Glider Observations, JGR. DOI: 10.1029/2018JC014162.

I

Iwi, A., L. Hermanson, K. Haines, R.T. Sutton (2012): Mechanisms Linking Volcanic Aerosols to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4067.1.

J

Johnson, H.L., Paola. Cessi, D.P. Marshall, F. Schloesser M.A. Spall (2019): Recent contributions of theory to our understanding of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, JGR Oceans. DOI: 10.1029/2019JC015330.

Jongma, J.I., M. Prange, H. Renssen, M. Schulz (2007): Amplification of Holocene multicentennial climate forcing by mode transitions in North Atlantic overturning circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 34(15). DOI: 10.1029/2007GL030642.

Jung, S.J.A., Kroon, D. (2011): Quantifying rates of change in ocean conditions with implications for timing of sea level change, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 204-213. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.004.

K

Knutti, R., Meehl, G.A., Allen, M. R., Stainforth, D. A. (2006): Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature, Journal of Climate, 19: 4224-4233. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3865.1.

L

Landerer, F.W., Wiese, D.N., Bentel, K., Boening, C., Watkins, M.M. (2015): North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variations from GRACE ocean bottom pressure anomalies, GRL, 42(19): 8114-8121. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL065730.

Lavender, K. L., Owens, W. B., Davis, R. E. (2005): The mid-depth circulation of the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean as measured by subsurface floats, Deep Sea Research, 52: 767-785. DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr.2004.12.007.

Lecointre, A., Penduff, T., Cipollini, P., Tailleux, R., and Barnier, B. (2008): Depth dependence of westward-propagating North Atlantic features diagnosed from altimetry and a numerical 1/6° model, Ocean Science, 4(1): 99-113

Lenton, T.L., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J.W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H.J. (2008): Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system, Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA, 105 (6): 1786-1793. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0705414105.

Lenton, T.M., R. Marsh, A.R. Price, D.J. Lunt, Y. Aksenov, J.D. Annan, T. Cooper-Chadwick, S.J. Cox, N.R. Edwards, S. Goswami, J.C. Hargreaves, P.P. Harris, Z. Jiao, V.N. Livina, A.J. Payne, I.C. Rutt, J.G. Shepherd, P J. Valdes, G. Williams, M.S. Williamson and A. Yool (2007): Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework, Climate Dynamics, 29(6): 591-613. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0254-9.

Little, C.M., A. Hu, C.W. Hughes, G.D. McCarthy, C.G. Piecuch, R.M. Ponte, M.D. Thomas (2019): The Relationship between United States East Coast Sea Level and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: a Review, JGR Oceans. DOI: 10.1029/2019JC015152.

Lohne, Ø., S. Bondevik, J. Mangerud, J.I. Svendsen (2007): Sea-level fluctuations imply that the Younger Dryas ice-sheet expansion in western Norway commenced during the Allerød, Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(7-18): 2128-2151. DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.04.008.

Lozier, M.S., F. Li, S. Bacon, F. Bahr, A.S. Bower, S.A. Cunningham, M.F. de Jong, L. de Steur, B. deYoung, J. Fischer, S.F. Gary, B.J. W. Greenan, N.P. Holliday, A. Houk, L. Houpert, M.E. Inall, W. E. Johns, H.L. Johnson, C. Johnson, J. Karstensen, G. Koman, I. A. Le Bras, X. Lin, N. Mackay, D.P. Marshall, H. Mercier, M. Oltmanns, R.S. Pickart, A.L. Ramsey, D. Rayner, F. Straneo, V. Thierry, D.J. Torres, R.G. Williams, C. Wilson, J. Yang, I. Yashayaev, J. Zhao (2019): A sea change in our view of overturning in the subpolar North Atlantic, Science, 363 (6426): 516-521. DOI: 10.1126/science.aau6592.

Lozier, M.S.; Bacon, S.; Bower, A.S.; Cunningham, S.A.; de Jong, M.F.; de Steur, L.; deYoung, B.; Fischer, J.; Gary, S.F; Greenan, B.J.W.; Heimbach, P.; Holliday, N.P.; Houpert, L.; Inall, M.E.; Johns, W.E.; Johnson, H.L.; Karstensen, J.; Li, F.; Lin, X.; Mackay, N.; Marshall, D.P.; Mercier, H.; Myers, P.G.; Pickart, R.S.; Pillar, H.R.; Straneo, F.; Thierry, V.; Weller, Robert A.; Williams, R.G.; Wilson, C.; Yang, J.; Zhao, J.; Zika, J.D. (2017): Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: a new international ocean observing system, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 98(4): 737-752. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0057.1.

Lundqvist, J., Ehlers, J., Gibbard, P.L. (2007): Late Glacial Events in Northwest Europe, Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science, 1116-1122. DOI: 10.1016/b0-444-52747-8/00133-2.

M

Mackay, N., Wilson, C., Zika, J. & Holliday, N.P. (2018): A Regional Thermohaline Inverse Method for Estimating Circulation and Mixing in the Arctic and Subpolar North Atlantic, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35 (12): 2383-2403. DOI: 0.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1.

Maidens, A., A. Arribas, A.A. Scaife, C. MacLachlan, D. Peterson, J. Knight (2013): The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11, Monthly Weather Review, 41 (11): 3801-3813. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00033.1.

Marsh, R., Haigh, I.D., Cunningham, S.A., Inall, M.E., Porter, M., and Moat, B.I. (Large-scale forcing of the European Slope Current and associated inflows to the North Sea): Ocean Sci., 13, 315-335: 10.5194/os-13-315-2017.

Marshall, D.P., and H.L. Johnson (2017): Relative strength of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69(1). DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2017.1338884.

Marzocchi, A., J. J.-M. Hirschi, N.P. Holliday, S.A. Cunningham, A.T. Blaker, A.C. Coward (2015): The North Atlantic subpolar circulation in an eddy-resolving global ocean model, Journal of Marine Systems, 142: 126-143. DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2014.10.007.

McDermott, F., Atkinson, T.C., Fairchild, I.J., Baldini, L.M., Mattey, D.P. (2011): A first evaluation of the spatial gradients in δ18O recorded by European Holocene speleothems, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 275-287. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.01.005.

McDonagh, E. L., McLeod, P., King, B. A. Bryden, H. L., Torres Valdes, S. (2010): Circulation, heat and freshwater transport at 36°N in the Atlantic, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40: 2661-2678. DOI: 10.1175/2010JPO4176.1.

Mercier, H., P. Lherminier, A. Sarafanov, F. Gaillard, N. Daniault, D. Desbruyeres, A. Falina, B. Ferron, T. Huck, V. Thierry (2015): Variability of the meridional overturning circulation at the Greenland-Portugal Ovide section from 1993 to 2010, Prog. Oceanogr, 132: 250-261. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.11.001.

Messori, G., and A. Czaja (2013): On the sporadic nature of meridional heat transport by transient eddies, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139(B): 999-1008. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2011.

Mignac, D., D. Ferreira and K. Haine (2019): Decoupled Freshwater Transport and Meridional Overturning in the South Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(4): 2178-2186. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081328.

Mignac, D., D. Ferreira, and K. Haines (2017): South Atlantic meridional transports from NEMO-based simulations and reanalyses, Ocean Science Discussions. DOI: 10.5194/os-2017-69.

Moffa‐Sánchez, P., Moreno‐Chamarro,E., Reynolds, D. J., Ortega, P.,Cunningham, L., Swingedouw, D., Amrhein, D.E., Halfar, J., Jonkers, L., Jungclaus, J.H., Perner, K., Wanamaker, A., Yeager, S. (2019): Variability in the northernNorth Atlantic and Arctic Oceansacross the last two millennia: A review., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34. DOI: 10.1029/2018PA003508.

Monerie, P.-A., J. Robson, B. Dong and N. Dunstone (2017): A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia?, Climate Dynamics, 51: 473-491. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3935-z.

Monerie, P.-A., J. Robson, B. Dong, B. Dieppois, B.Pohl & N. Dunstone (2018): Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system, Climate Dynamics, 52(11): 6491-6510. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3.

Monerie, P.-A., J. Robson, B. Dong, D.L.R. Hodson, N.P. Klingaman (2019): Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Global Monsoon, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(3): 1765-1775. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL080903.

Moore. A.M., M.J. Martin, S. Akella, H.G. Arango, M. Balmaseda, L. Bertino, S. Ciavatta, B. Cornuelle, J. Cummings, S. Frolov, P. Lermusiaux, P.Oddo, P.R. Oke, A. Storto, A. Teruzzi, A. Vidard , A.T. Weaver (2019): Synthesis of Ocean Observations Using Data Assimilation for Operational, Real-Time and Reanalysis Systems: A More Complete Picture of the State of the Ocean, Frontiers in Marine Science. DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00090.

O

OSNAP (2016): Measuring the Meridional Overturning Circulation from the OSNAP Array, OSNAP Technical Report, July 2016. https://duke.app.box.com/v/osnap-technical-report

P

Persechino, A., Marsh, R., Sinha, B., Megann, A. P., Blaker, A. T., New, A. L. (2012): Decadal-timescale changes of the Atlantic overturning circulation and climate in a coupled climate model with a hybrid-coordinate ocean component, Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4): 1021-1042. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1432-y.

Pillar, H., P. Heimbach, H. Johnson, and D. Marshall (2016): Dynamical attribution of recent variability in Atlantic overturning, J. Climate, 29: 3339-3352. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0727.1.

R

Rahmstorf, S., Box, J., Feulner, G., Mann, M., Robinson, A., Rutherford, S., Schaffernicht, E. (2015): Evidence for an exceptional 20th-Century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning, Nature Climate Change (online). DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2554.

Roberts, C. D., Jackson, L., McNeall, D. (2014): Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?, GRL, 41(9): 3204-210. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059473.

Rossby, T., G. Reverdin, L. Chafik, H. Søiland (2017): A direct estimate of poleward volume, heat, and freshwater fluxes at 59.58N between Greenland and Scotland, 2017., J. Geophys. Res., 122: 5870-5887. DOI: 10.1002/2017JC012835.

Rougier, J. C (2005): Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Simulator Evaluations, Climatic Change. www.maths.dur.ac.uk/stats/people/jcr/CCrevisionA4.pdf

S

S. L. Hughes S. Bacon A. Beszczynska‐Möller B. Hansen A. Lavín H. Loeng K. A. Mork S. Østerhus T. Sherwin W. Walczowski … See fewer authors (): ,

Sanderson, B.M., Knutti, R., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Ingram, W. J., Piani, C., Stainforth, D. A., Stone, D. A., Allen, M. R. (2008): Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes, Journal of Climate, 21: 2384-2400. DOI: doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1869.1.

Schiermeier, Q (2013): Oceans under surveillance, Nature News, 497: 7448. On-line article

Schiermeier, Q (2014): Atlantic current strength declines, Nature News, 509: 7500. On-line article

Smith, D., R.P. Allan, A.C. Coward, R. Eade, P. Hyder, C.Liu, N.G. Loeb, M.D. Palmer, C.D. Roberts, A.A. Scaife (2015): Earth’s energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42: 1205–1213. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062669.

Stanford, J.D., Rohling, E.J., Bacon, S., Holliday, N.P. (2011): A review of the deep and surface currents around Eirik Drift, south of Greenland: Comparison of the past with the present, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 244-254. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.001.

Stanford, J.D., Hemingway, R., Rohling, E.J., Challenor, P.G., Medina-Elizalde, M., Lester, A.J. (2011): Sea-level probability for the last deglaciation: A statistical analysis of far-field records, Global and Planetary Change, 79: 193-203. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.11.002.

Sutton, R.T.; McCarthy, G.D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; Gray, L.J. (2018): Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the UK ACSIS programme, Bul. Am. Met. Soc., 99. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1.

Swingedouw, D., Braconnot, P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E., Marti, O. (2007): Quantifying the AMOC feedbacks during a 2xCO(2) stabilization experiment with land-ice melting, Climate Dynamics, 29: 521-534. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-007-0250-0.

T

Taws, S.R., R. Marsh, N.C. Wells, J. Hirschi (2011): Re-emerging ocean temperature anomalies in late 2010 associated with a repeat negative NAO, Geophysical Research Letters, 8: L20601. DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048978.

Tindall, J. C., Valdesm P. J. (2011): Modeling the 8.2 ka event using a coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMC312-321, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.02.004

Tokmakian, R., P. Challenor, and I Andrianakis (2012): On the Use of Emulators with Extreme and Highly Nonlinear Geophysical Simulators., Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 29 (11): 1704-1715. DOI: 10.1175/JTECHD-11-00110.1.

Tokmakian, R., and P. Challenor (2014): Uncertainty in Modeled Upper Ocean Heat Content Change., Climate Dynamics, 42: 1-20. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1709-9.

W

Weijer, W., Cheng, W., Drijfhout, S.S.,Federov, A.V., Hu, A., Jackson, L.C., Liu, W., McDonagh, E.L., Mecking, J.V., Zhang, J. (2019): Stability of the AtlanticMeridional Overturning Circulation:A review and synthesis, JGR Oceans, 124. DOI: 10.1029/2019JC015083.

Y

Yashayaev, I., and J. W. Loder (2016): Recurrent replenishment of Labrador Sea Water and associated decadal-scale variability, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 121: 8095-8114. DOI: 10.1002/2016JC012046.

Yashayaev, I., and J.W. Loder (2017): Further intensification of deep convection in the Labrador Sea in 2016., Geophysical Research Letters, 44: 1429-1438. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071668.

Z

Zhang, R., Sutton, R., Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y.‐O., Marsh, R., Yeager, S.G., Amrhein, D.E., Little, C.M. (2019): A Review of the Role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Associated Climate Impacts, Reviews of Geophysics, 57 (2): 316-375. DOI: 10.1029/2019RG000644.

Zhang,R., Delworth,T., Sutton,R., Hodson, D.L.R., Dixon, K.W., Held, I.M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J., Rosati, A.J., Ting, M.F., Vecchi, G.A. (2013): Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?, J.Atmos.Sci., 70(4): 1135-1144. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1.

Zou, S., Lozier, M. S. & Buckley, M. (2019): How is meridional coherence maintained in the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 46: 244-252. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL080958.

Related web sites