Rapid Climate Change
International Science Conference
 

CONFERENCE HOME

Information
for the Media

NEW: Conference Summary (PDF)

Conference Themes

Programme

Abstracts

NEW:
Full presentations

PAGES/CLIVAR Workshop

24 - 27 October 2006. Birmingham, U.K.

Conference Programme

Programme for printing:

Tuesday 24th October

11:00 Registration
14:00 Conference opening and welcome
Lloyd Keigwin, Chair, RAPID Scientific Steering Committee
14:10 Theme 2: What does the past tell us about rapid climate change?
Chair: Nick McCave

14:10 Eric Wolff: Rapid climate changes have occurred in the past: 8.2k and Dansgaard-Oeschger events in ice core and other palaeorecords.   Invited talk Abstract

14:50 Bette Otto-Bliesner: Freshwater in the North Atlantic and rapid climate change: modelling of the 8.2 ka and Heinrich events.   Invited talk   Abstract

15:30 Coffee
16:00 Theme 2 continues.
Chair: Nick McCave
16:00 P. Spence, A. Weaver: The influence of mesoscale eddies and boundary currents on surface freshwater forcings used to drive MOC variations. Abstract
16:20 T. Kleinen, T. Osborn, K. Briffa: Investigation into influences on Little Ice Age climate. Abstract
16:40 L.P. Jonkers, M.A. Prins, G.-J. Weltje, A. Ganopolski, G.-J. A. Brummer: Hysteresis response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to freshwater perturbation: a data model comparison. Abstract
17:00 B.A.A. Hoogakker, I.N. McCave, C. Hillaire-Marcel: Antiphase Nordic Sea overflows in the Holocene North Atlantic. Abstract
17:20 J. Flückiger, R. Knutti, J.W.C. White, T. Popp: Modeled seasonality and timing of abrupt climate events during the last glacial epoch. Abstract
17:40 M.R. Chapman, E. Farmer, K.R. Miller, J.E. Andrews: Holocene Variability In The Subpolar North Atlantic. Abstract
18:00 Ice breaker: Wine reception at Holiday Inn

Wednesday 25th October

09:00 Conference addresses
09:00 Prof. Alan Thorpe, Chief Executive, Natural Environment Research Council
09:10 Sir David King, UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser
09:40 Theme 1: Is the MOC changing?
Chair: Alan Thorpe

09:40 Harry Bryden: Variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25°N,   Invited talk Abstract

10:20 Coffee
10:50 Theme 1 continues
Chair: Lisa Beal

10:50 Friedrich Schott: The Atlantic MOC during the past decade: a northern perspective.   Invited talk Abstract
11:30 B. Hansen, S. Østerhus, D. Quadfasel: Faroe Bank Channel overflow 1995 - 2005. Abstract
11:50 S.J. Leadbetter, R.G. Williams, V. Roussenov, M.S. Lozier: Mechanisms of North Atlantic ocean heat content change over the last 50 years. Abstract
12:10 M. O. Baringer: Heat transport variations in the subtropical North Atlantic. Abstract
12:30 K.P. Boessenkool, I.R. Hall, H. Elderfield, I. Yashayaev: North Atlantic climate and deep-ocean flow during the last 200 years. Abstract
12:50 S. Østerhus, The MOEN Consortium: Meridional Overturning Exchange with the Nordic Seas. Abstract
13:10 Lunch
14:00 Themes 1 and 2 poster presentations
Coffee will be available during the poster session
List of Theme 1 posters     List of Theme 2 posters
16:30 Panel discussion
How have paleo studies helped us to improve models and predictions of RCC?
Chair: Paul Valdes
Panel Members:
    - Sheldon Bacon, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton.
    - Allegra Legrande, Columbia University
    - Hans Renssen, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
17:30 RAPID update
Brief overview of recent developments in the NERC RAPID programme
Meric Srokosz (Science Co-ordinator) and Robin McCandliss (Data Manager)
17:45 Day 2 Close
20:00 Conference Dinner - Venue: Holiday Inn
David Buckland: The art of climate change

Thursday 26th October

09:00 Theme 3: THC, climate and weather in the 21st century
Chair: Helen Johnson

09:00 Richard Wood: Predicting the future of the MOC.   Invited talk
09:40 Henk Dijkstra: The stability of the ocean's meridional overturning circulation: a model hierarchy perspective.   Invited talk   Abstract
10:20 Coffee
10:50 Theme 3 continues
Chair: Helen Johnson

10:50 Daniela Jacob: Impacts of changes in MOC on the European climate.   Invited talk   Abstract

11:30 T. Fichefet, E. Driesschaert, H. Goosse, P. Huybrechts, I. Janssens, A. Mouchet, G. Munhoven, V. Brovkin, S.L. Weber: Modeling the interactions between the Greenland ice sheet and climate during the next millennia. Abstract
11:50 K. Zickfeld, A.J. Weaver, M. Eby: Effects of potential changes in the thermohaline circulation on the global carbon cycle. Abstract
12:10 T.J. Woollings, B.J. Hoskins, M. Blackburn: Using a Regional Climate Model to investigate the impact of climate change on North Atlantic and European climate regimes. Abstract
12:30 L. Czeschel, D.P. Marshall, H.L. Johnson: Sensitivity of the meridional overturning circulationat 25°N to local and remote forcing. Abstract
12:50 J.H. Jungclaus, H. Haak, M. Esch, E. Roeckner, L. Mu, J. Marotzke: Will Greenland melting halt the Thermohaline Circulation? Abstract
13:10 Lunch
14:00 Themes 3 and 4 poster presentations
Coffee will be available during the poster session
List of Theme 3 posters     List of Theme 4 posters     Other posters
16:30 Panel discussion
What does society want to know about Rapid Climate Change?
Chair: Rowan Sutton, University of Reading
Panel Members:
    - Steve Jewson, Risk Management Solutions
    - Cathy Johnson, DEFRA
    - Roger Street, UKCIP
17:45 Day 2 Close

Friday 27th October

09:00 Theme 3 continues
Chair: Martin Visbeck

09:00 S. S. Drijfhout, W. Hazeleger: Detecting Atlantic MOC changes in an ensemble of climate change simulations. Abstract
09:20 B. W. Dong, R. T. Sutton: Enhancement of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability by a weakened Atlantic Thermohaline circulation in a coupled GCM. Abstract
09:40 P.G. Challenor, D. McNeall: The Probability of Rapid Climate Change in an Intermediate Complexity Climate Model. Abstract
10:00 H.L. Johnson, D.P. Marshall, D. Sproson: Reconciling theories of a mechanically driven meridional overturning circulation with the existence of thermohaline multiple equilibria. Abstract
10:20 Coffee
10:40 Theme 4: Outlook and challenges
Chair: Martin Visbeck

10:40 Jonathan Rougier: How can probability be used to quantify uncertainty in climate predictions?   Invited talk Abstract

11:20 Peter Haugan:Some polar mechanisms of rapid climate change.   Invited talk Abstract

12:00 Jochem Marotzke:From MOC observations to climate predictions?   Invited talk
12:40 Closing notes
13:00 Lunch
14:00 Conference close

Above: Heather Ackroyd working on 'Ice lens" during the Cape Farwell expedition to Svalbard in March 2005.

Art Exhibition
An art exhibition by artists taking part in the Cape Farewell Arctic expeditions will be held in the conference venue during the conference.

 

SOCIAL EVENTS

Tuesday:
Ice breaker reception at Holiday Inn, Birmingham

Wednesday:
Conference Dinner.
After Dinner Speaker: David Buckland, Cape Farewell: "The Art of Climate Change".

 

PANEL DISCUSSIONS

1.

How have paleo studies helped us to improve models and predictions of rapid climate change?

2.

What does society want to know about rapid climate change?

 

PAGES/CLIVAR Intersection Workshop
The 8.2 ka Event, October 23.

The Pages/Clivar panel is a joint venture between the PAGES and CLIVAR pro-grammes and is set up to better integrate the paleoclimate and climate dynamics communities. Attached to the RAPID Inter-national Meeting the panel will organise a one-day workshop on the 8.2 ka event.

The workshop will synthesise our present knowledge about the event, its causes, mechanisms, impacts and relevance for current understanding of the stability of the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC).

The workshop will comprise modellers and observationalists working on the 8.2 event or on various aspects of MOC.

This workshhop is by invitation only. If you wish to attend please contact the co-ordinator, Eystein Jansen,   E-mail: Eystein.Jansen@geo.uib.no.